KBL 0.00% 0.1¢ kbl mining limited

Ann: Appendix 3B-KBL.AX, page-5

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  1. 1,125 Posts.
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    The following may or may not enlighten you.

    It is a .mac document for WxMaxima:

    ---------------------------------------------------

    /*
    61,853 ozs Au at Pearce plus 13,706 at Pearce North.
    76% (i.e. 0.76) is KBL's and 24% is sold at 18% discount (i.e. 0.82) to market (AUD 1300)
    cost of production is 900

    http://clients3.weblink.com.au/pdf/KBL/01763923.pdf for number of shares:

    1367438524 + 28954516 + 1221158490


    */

    shares : 1367438524 + 28954516 + 1221158490 + 243439934 + 37500000 + 50000000 + 40000000;
    shares1   : 1054658490 + 28954516 + 989658490 + 232500000 + 500000000 + 50000000;
    gold1 : 61853;
    gold2 : 61853 + 13706 ;
    price : 1300;
    cost   : 900;
    plant : 11.2 * 10^6;

    /*
    The latest dilution is in but later we may change the number of shares
    Note that I will go through the list more carefully later as some of the options
    would now only be exercised if KBL found a big stack of pure gold.
    */

    /*
    With Pearce only:
    */

    gold1 * (0.76 * (price - cost) + 0.24 * (0.82 * price - cost)) / shares;

    /*
    With Pearce plus Pearce North:
    */

    gold2 * (0.76 * (price - cost) + 0.24 * (0.82 * price - cost)) / shares;

    /*
    ... but gold is now AUD 1735 / oz, so with Pearce only
    */

    price : 1752;

    gold1 * (0.76 * (price - cost) + 0.24 * (0.82 * price - cost)) / shares;

    /*
    gold at AUD 1735 / oz, Pearce and Pearce North
    */

    gold2 * (0.76 * (price - cost) + 0.24 * (0.82 * price - cost)) / shares;

    /*
    Note
    1. - no allowance for the money owed - convertible notes?
    2. - no allowance for gold recovery rate (flotation 70% ?)
    3. + but no allowance for other Au recovery phases.
    4. +- this is not discounted back to a present value - regarded as unnecessary for the "barbaric relic"
    5. + no allowance for recovery of other metals (esp silver)
    6. + no allowance for CIL or processing other miners' output.
    */

    /*
    Assessment: looks somewhat healthy, even with all the dilution

    KBLO not or scarcely trading at AUD 0.001
    KBL trading at AUD 0.003 Aug 22 - Close
    */

    /*
    Also 11.2 * 10^6 on CIL and flotation (but with no depreciation):
    */

    plant / shares;

    ---------------------------------

    Run it and reflect on the results.

    Criticism welcome.

    Enjoy.
 
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