We're seeing a great example of why dilution is so terrible for shareholders. The share price drops 50% and yet the market cap will remain the same. One thing I would say to new investors is don't look at the share price in terms of a single share. Look at the share price as one piece of a whole. If you're holding shares and dilution occurs you actually own less of the company than you did before and yet the company is worth no more than it was before.
I was careful with this one and only had minimum exposure. This drop has now made my holding unmarketable which is the only reason I still hold.
Let's say the company is making an average of $450k per quarter for an annual total of $1.8m. With the market cap of $8.3m we're sitting on a revenue multiple of approx 4.6 ($1.8m x 4.6 = $8.28m). Sounds like most people bought at around 3c, Which means the company would need to be making $14.8m annually or $3.7m per quarter using the same 4.6 multiple to get a market cap of $68.08m to get a share price of approximately 3c. Here's the scary stuff, revenue would have to increase more than 700% to allow those that bought at 3c to just break even.
Markets aren't black and white though so if revenue was growing rapidly then all those calculations are meaningless and a potentially higher multiple would be used. This is not advice but rather some rough calcs I ran this afternoon. I feel for anyone that lost big money on this one. GLTAH.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- CIO
- Ann: $2.53m Capital Raising and Loan Facility Restructure
Ann: $2.53m Capital Raising and Loan Facility Restructure, page-79
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 8 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add CIO (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
1.8¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $286.1K |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
Featured News
CIO (ASX) Chart |
Day chart unavailable