Yes, I'd be sure the market reaction has taken them by surprise. It was savage and it may not be finished yet.
Got to be instos exiting and I think there are three things which have spooked them: (1) Failing to exceed the comps (2) The audit qualification by a Tier 1 auditor and (3) The uncertainty over the AASB to apply to the value of the PDL's. And let's face it, this is a difficult to grasp concept.
My little pea brain looks at the cash generated because you cannot fudge that. Then I am relying on their much vaunted careful analysis of what they buy, from whom and what price they pay. They list this as a competitive advantage so I am assuming the value of the PDL's must be there and it isn't just a hollowed out, overstated asset.
I'd be thinking Keith will communciate with the market several times before 2H results and he has a number of SP boosting catalysts. For example, he hinted around the possibility of increasing the PDL's above $80m - at one stage he said "we are 99% there". The market would see this as a positive.
I have confidence in them meeting guidance and realistically this should rate the company at $3.50 - I bought today but wasn't lucky to be bottom fishing.
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Yes, I'd be sure the market reaction has taken them by surprise....
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60.0¢ |
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Mkt cap ! $73.69M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
61.0¢ | 61.0¢ | 60.0¢ | $18.15K | 30K |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 29931 | 59.0¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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62.0¢ | 17187 | 2 |
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1 | 36200 | 0.470 |
1 | 1816 | 0.465 |
1 | 20000 | 0.460 |
1 | 10000 | 0.455 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.490 | 47333 | 1 |
0.500 | 3000 | 1 |
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