TIM 0.00% 4.4¢ timbercorp limited

analysis of timpb and tim

  1. 2,123 Posts.
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    I would appreciate some comments on this strategy:

    Let's be very conservative and assume interest is not paid on TIMPB, and if it is treat it as a bonus (6.75% fully franked times $2.00 face for each note=13.5 cents for two more payments to Sep09 and notes are at 40 cents);

    so
    Buy you TIMPB at 40 cents
    and sell TIM at 16 cents
    ratio 2.5 TIM to one TIMPB

    in Sep09, you get 4 TIM shares for every TIMPB

    payout Sep09 as follows
    if TIM=0 (company goes BUST), + 40 cents from TIM short and -40 cents from TIMPB=breakeven

    if TIM=10 cents, result=15 cents from TIM short and 40 cents from TIMPB=55 cents payout

    if TIM=20 cents, result=(10 cents) from TIM and 80 cents from TIMPB=70 cents payout

    if TIM=30 cents, result=(35 cents) from TIM short and $1.20 from TIMPB=85 cents payout

    if TIM=40 cents, result=(60 cents) from TIM short and $1.60 from TIMPB=$1.00 payout

    if TIM=50 cents, result=(85 cents) from TIM short and $2.00 from TIMPB=$1.15 payout

    if TIM=80 cents, result=($1,60) from TIM short and $2.00 from TIMPB=$0.40 payout

    if TIM=90 cents, result=(1.90) from TIM short and $2.00 from TIMPB=$0.10 payout

    so is profitable trade between TIM=zero and TIM=$1 approx

    Does anybody have a view on this strategy?
 
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