EWC 5.00% 1.9¢ energy world corporation ltd

Obviously LNG has received a lot of press recently with the...

  1. 65 Posts.
    Obviously LNG has received a lot of press recently with the 1000+% increase in share price. I have only researched LNG for a short period, but here is a very rough comparison of the companies.

    LNG:
    Market Cap: $1.8bn, Net Assets: $47m, Sales: $0, Loss making
    Strategy: LNG tolling. LNG plans to generate revenue from tolling, this is just a fraction of the value chain compared to a company that owns its own feedstock.
    LNG plant development cost = US$500m/MTPA

    Pros:
    Two sites, with approved permitting from regulators. Plans for another site
    Pre-financed projects
    Projects on gas lines with effectively endless gas flow
    Significant financial backers

    Cons:
    Plans on how to build modular LNG
    Plans to just reach financial close in 2015!
    Not fully licensed
    No gas assets
    Projects in very expensive economies in which to do business
    This company doesn't look like it will be able to produce LNG/ Revenue for at least four/five years

    EWC:
    Market Cap: $600m, Net Assets: $600m, Sales $200m, Net Profit $20m
    Strategy: Fully integrated energy company with control of the entire value chain - excluding Mr Elliott's EPC element.
    LNG plant development cost = US$90m/MTPA

    Pros
    315MW up and running contributing circa $20m in net profit
    8MW up and running
    400MW, Paid for and delivered. BOP to be paid for
    Significant gas assets proven. In my opinion significant gas assets also in the ground and unproven.
    LNG export facility - 70% (ballpark) paid for and complete
    LNG import facility - 40% (ballpark) paid for and complete
    Other immaterial projects for the purpose of this discussion
    Flexibility of fuel supply, from a purchasing and sales perspective. I think this is a crucial point versus long term off take agreements
    The ability to roll out modular LNG using internally generated cash flow in the medium to long term

    Cons
    Significant political risk - doubts over ability to export LNG
    Key man risk
    Lack of final round of financing
    Strategy of building before financing making progress very slow

    Obviously EWC's management has over promised and under delivered over the years but it is hard to argue with the progress in the past 18 months. Once the taps start to flow in Indonesia what will the market make of this company? LNG has also been in business for 10 years trying to do this, with the market only responding now, and this response is based on approvals, permits and promises of capital.

    It would be good if somebody who has done the research could do a SOTP valuation for EWC.
 
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