I rate this as a 50/50 chance. At the moment it is a speculative play hence the 19% spread. I like it. It is a cash deal with terms and finance already completed. Once the due dilligence is done I would rate it as a 90/10 chance. Nothing is 100% until the date of completion but I think DEX is worth every bit of the 80c that GUD is offering. If the offer faills over I get to keep my shares, no problem there.