MOG 0.00% 0.5¢ moby oil & gas ltd

boxing day sale - 50% off a 12tcf field in wa, page-17

  1. 6,352 Posts.
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    I think both MEO and MOG need MEO's farmout to succeed, and on very good terms.
    If MEO let 50% of Artemis go for the cost of free carry in one well and seismic costs, then I think the market will heavily discount MEO's claims of 12tcf, 32% POS.

    I am hoping to see MEO get seismic backcosts, 2:1 on the first well, and 1.4:1 on two optional followup wells.
    That would be the deal for MEO, and CUE/MOG would remain at 15% ea carried on the one well since their farmout to MEO is a separate deal.

    If MEO fail to close, then I don't think it will be good for MOG even though they hypothetically get 50% of the permit.
    Unfortunately, 50% of an unfunded prospect is not worth much in the markets eyes, especially if a farminee has just walked away.
    Furthermore, MOG's acquisition of Artemis/RankinTrend is "conditional" on MOG raising $22.4mil for Braveheart/Cornea.

    So what comes first, the chicken or the egg?
    I think MOG's RI "needs" a successful farmout by MEO.
    This will "confirm" the value of Artemis -> justify MOG's current sp -> support the RI and placement -> satisfy the condition for MOG to acquire Artemis/RT in the first place.

    Wildcard to that scenario is another move by Albers to amend the "conditions".
 
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