Any sane PES holder getting his BG paperwork, and thinking, yes time to exit, will look at the market price and either: 1) Sell on market 2) Reconsider and hold.
I cannot answer for the insane, so who knows BG might get a few acceptances - but 10% out of 40% minor holders?? - what could have driven so many insane people to buy PES in the first place?
Contrary to your proposition, the ball is entirely in AOE's court. While PES sp above $8 BG get's no traction. While there remains speculation of a higher offer from AOE, or someone else then the sp remains above $8, and BG only get acceptances from some of the insane (some of the insane may be too insane to open the envelope).
EL
PES Price at posting:
$8.50 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held