ROG 0.00% 0.8¢ red sky energy limited.

Ann: Red Sky Completes Innamincka Licences Transfer from Beach, page-6

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  1. 532 Posts.
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    Hi @Davidspades

    Probably my fault putting down figures without the accompanying caveats!

    $3,650,000
    Is based on output of 200 bopd, which is what Beech were achieving.
    I think I read somewhere it should be 600-1,000 bopd with Horizontal wells (Horizontal drilling in 2020). so multiple $3,650,000 by 3-5 times ($10m to $18m).

    That's just the value of the production from the Flax site! Flax is smaller than Juniper!

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1478/1478014-ee329e00dec1ec5c17518a3f82b8a1ec.jpg

    We also need to consider if production is done alone or with a JV partner. I also understand there are some royalties payable to Beech as part of the deal - but I may be wrong.

    To calculate the MC, you also need to take into account the value of the assets the company holds. So to put a value on the company we got to consider how much oil/gas is in the ground, and how much that equates to once produced etc. So value the asset (inc licenses) and the potential value of those assets etc...

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1478/1478016-bdb9954cb9b13d5fb401364dd9a4a921.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1478/1478018-e8e4048a770132af3194dcc991417d2b.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1478/1478020-6ebeeab1d8f2c21d452ea5726d33f843.jpg

    Then there is the Gold Nugget site in Wyoming, USA also, which is not producing due to water found in the facilities. I don't know much about this.

    I don't want to get over zealous with estimating the MC of ROG - there's still a lot of work to get to this. But by the end of this year (i.e. Dec 2019) I hope the MC to be somewhere between $20m to $40m = a SP of 2c to 4c approx. Beyond 2019 - I don't want to predict or comment on. Like I say - All IMO, DYOR etc. but I believe this is achievable given the acquisition and approvals.

    I hope this helps.
    MSN
 
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