Originally posted by wombat777
Also have been having a quick look at other projects in Africa, their current status in terms of CAPEX funding targets and current cash balance.
BAT have a relatively healthy cash balance. The target they set for the end of last year was AUD $5m and they finished with AUD $7.2M at the end of last quarter.
Funding has been challenging for projects in Africa ( as BAT learnt last year ), but I would much rather they try to secure < US $50M than trying to fund USD $80M to USD $270M.
Will also mean there is less of a debt burden in the critical commissioning and ramp-up phase ( although the form of BAT's funding is yet to be confirmed ). We could still see a mix of debt and equity.
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BAT need to fund a relatively small amount compared to the others. Around 25% of the work has been done based on spend to date.
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The peer comparison between the other undeveloped projects is an excellent angle to consider. Cheers.
As for the MC comparison, something continues to feel off about this. Not faulting the work, just the application. I've always found that 99% of the time when you're wondering if it's you or the market that's missing something, it's you. I'd be more inclined to trust the current SYR share price than the broker estimate. You should probably also strip it back to enterprise value, ie. subtract cash. Even then though, both SYR and BAT look good.