Structural FX, page-21

  1. 221 Posts.
    Bearish action could be seen on USDCAD also. I managed to get a small bullish move on the bounce for a quick 2.6% on that double-bottom entry (two small grey boxes).

    We already had a failed attempt at bearish action (large grey box). This quite often happens at the end of the C-leg. We see this last attempt at a final push before the opposing side (bulls in this case) take charge. This push also gave us slight divergence confirming my bullish bias previous to taking that trade.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1430/1430774-40f1a513c9b6236616df1287110e53fd.jpg

    However, we are currently sitting at the spaghetti of 3 major trendlines and 1 mid-term trendline (see chart below). If the bulls take charge we could see some more bullish action for the next few weeks. Again, depends what Powell has to say. I will only consider this if we see a break of that mid-term trendline. This, for me, will confirm a third bounce from those two major trendline supports and ma convergence (grey box).

    I'll be looking for the short-term short as, IMO, it's more likely but if there's no opportunity I will be looking for a long on both UCAD and UJ (if this UCAD bull move happens, it's likely that UJ would've broken out of that range and be accelerating to the upside also).
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1430/1430779-f5f5279708070d584c1a0c6cbbb85c8e.jpg
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.