That OC opinion has the words, “a material profit upgrade with H1 FY19 earnings now expected to be $45m, up over 100% on the same period last year”. I presume “earnings” means NPAT. If H2 is going to be just as good as H1, then that is a FY19 forecast NPAT of $90 million on Revenue of $1,100 million, which is a NPAT/Revenue of 8.18%. Hartley's has a Reported NPAT forecast of $47.7 million for FY19, on a Revenue of $1,112.3 million (see https://www.hartleys.com.au/files/publications/Hartleys Mining Industrials Booklet August 2018.pdf). My gut feeling is that the OC number is too high, and the Hartley's number is too low.
Any views, your own or that of analysts, on forecast FY19 Reported NPAT, or the forecast Reported NPAT for H1?
Bullish Sign? - Bounced off 200 EMA, page-2606
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