News: FOREX-Dollar rises vs euro, but outlook remains weak

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    • Euro reverses gains vs dollar
    • U.S. CPI falls in December
    • Chinese yuan at 6-month high
    • Graphic: World FX rates in 2018 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

    (Adds analyst comments, FX table, U.S. data, updates prices, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

    The dollar rose against the euro on Friday in choppy trading, boosted by technical factors after the single currency hit key resistance levels, even as the greenback's outlook remained bleak amid cautious signals from the Federal Reserve about further rate hikes.

    "It seems like we're getting some model and stop-loss buying on the dollar after the euro hit resistance on the upside," said John Doyle, vice president of dealing and trading at Tempus Inc. in Washington.

    "I don't see any fundamental driver to this move. The sharpest move was in euro/dollar and it has become this across-the-board buying of the dollar," he added.

    That said, investors remained wary of pushing the dollar a lot higher.

    This week's Fed minutes, which underscored the U.S. central bank's flexibility on monetary policy, triggered dollar selling that lifted the euro as high as $1.1581 and propelled it past a 100-day moving average for the first time in three months.

    Greg Anderson, global head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets in New York, said the Fed's rate outlook is one factor for the dollar's weakness so far in January.

    "The change (in Fed communications) this January was that (Fed Chairman Jerome) Powell last Friday and the minutes this week seem to indicate greater flexibility on balance sheet policy," said Anderson.

    He added: "Well, he didn't seem flexible yesterday. He has been all over the map on the balance sheet."

    Powell's mixed message was a relief for financial markets in general, but not necessarily for the dollar, Anderson said.

    The Fed chairman said on Thursday in a forum at the Economic Club of Washington that the U.S. central bank intends to shrink its balance sheet further, suggesting it is not done tightening monetary policy just yet.

    Markets, however, are pricing in no further rate hikes by the Fed this year.

    Data showing U.S. consumer prices in December fell for the first time in nine months in December had little impact on the market, but it backed the Fed's cautious stance about raising rates this year.

    In mid-morning trading, the dollar index rose 0.2 percent to 95.715 .DXY , with the euro falling 0.3 percent to $1.1467 EUR= .

    The dollar was also slightly higher versus the yen at 108.45 yen JPY= , and up versus the Canadian dollar, which fell 0.2 percent CAD= . The greenback last traded at C$1.3265.

    In other trading, the Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS rose to its highest level since late July against the dollar, as China and the United States extended trade talks in Beijing. China also gave recent assurances of further fiscal boosts to its slowing economy, lifting the yuan as well.

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    	Currency bid prices at 10:19AM (1519 GMT) 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	 High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change				  
    											  Session											
     Euro/Dollar	  EUR=		$1.1466		$1.1498	 -0.28%		 -0.03%	  +1.1540	 +1.1458 
     Dollar/Yen	   JPY=		108.4500	   108.4200	+0.03%		 -1.64%	  +108.5900   +108.1500 
     Euro/Yen		 EURJPY=	 124.37		 124.68	  -0.25%		 -1.47%	  +124.9900   +124.3000 
     Dollar/Swiss	 CHF=		0.9844		 0.9842	  +0.02%		 +0.31%	  +0.9856	 +0.9815 
     Sterling/Dollar  GBP=		1.2790		 1.2747	  +0.34%		 +0.26%	  +1.2850	 +1.2711 
     Dollar/Canadian  CAD=		1.3269		 1.3234	  +0.26%		 -2.70%	  +1.3274	 +1.3183 
     Australian/Doll  AUD=		0.7192		 0.7185	  +0.10%		 +2.03%	  +0.7235	 +0.7183 
     ar																							  
    
     Euro/Swiss	   EURCHF=	 1.1291		 1.1320	  -0.26%		 +0.34%	  +1.1340	 +1.1288 
     Euro/Sterling	EURGBP=	 0.8965		 0.9015	  -0.55%		 -0.22%	  +0.9061	 +0.8962 
     NZ			   NZD=		0.6811		 0.6778	  +0.49%		 +1.40%	  +0.6843	 +0.6781 
     Dollar/Dollar																				   
    
     Dollar/Norway	NOK=		8.5215		 8.4777	  +0.52%		 -1.36%	  +8.5390	 +8.4447 
     Euro/Norway	  EURNOK=	 9.7733		 9.7497	  +0.24%		 -1.34%	  +9.7866	 +9.7367 
     Dollar/Sweden	SEK=		8.9322		 8.9035	  +0.01%		 -0.36%	  +8.9389	 +8.8600 
     Euro/Sweden	  EURSEK=	 10.2430		10.2420	 +0.01%		 -0.20%	  +10.2520	+10.2090                    
 
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