- Futures traders pricing in one rate hike in 2019
- Fed meeting minutes on Thursday in focus
- Pound weakens on Brexit concerns
(New throughout, updates trading, adds comments to U.S. market open, previous LONDON)
The greenback gained slightly on Thursday as investors continued to digest comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday that took a more dovish turn than expected and sent the dollar tumbling.
Powell said that the central bank's policy rate is now "just below" estimates of a level that neither brakes nor boosts a healthy U.S. economy, comments that many investors read as signaling the Fed's three-year tightening cycle is drawing to a close.
Interest rate futures traders are now pricing for only one rate hike in 2019, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, below Fed projections of three increases during the year.
“You saw a pretty massive repricing yesterday of Fed expectations and the dollar and markets may have overreacted a little bit to it,” said Erik Nelson, a currency strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. “The room for downward repricing in Fed expectations from here may be kind of limited.”
The dollar index .DXY was last up 0.04 percent on the day at 96.823.
Minutes from the Fed's Nov. 7-8 meeting, to be released at 2 p.m. EST (1900 GMT), will next be evaluated for further indications of how many more times the U.S. central bank is likely to hike interest rates.
The greenback weakened earlier on Thursday after data showed that inflation slowed in October, despite a jump in consumer spending.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding the volatile food and energy components edged up 0.1 percent after increasing 0.2 percent in September.
The tepid inflation “takes some pressure off the Fed at the margin,” said Nelson.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, jumped 0.6 percent last month as households spent more on prescription medication and utilities.
Investors are also focused on the G20 summit in Buenos Aires on Friday and Saturday, where Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are scheduled to discuss contentious trade matters.
Trump said on Thursday said there was "a long way to go" on tariffs with China and urged companies to build products in the United States to avoid them.
Elsewhere, the pound lost about 0.4 percent against the dollar GBP= on concern about the UK parliament's vote on Brexit and after the Bank of England warned of risks to the currency if Britain leaves the European Union in a disorderedly manner.
======================================================== Currency bid prices at 9:23AM (1423 GMT)Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid Previous Change Session Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1376 $1.1366 +0.09% -5.17% +1.1401 +1.1349 Dollar/Yen JPY= 113.2800 113.6800 -0.35% +0.54% +113.6800 +113.2000 Euro/Yen EURJPY= 128.90 129.20 -0.23% -4.65% +129.2300 +128.6800 Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9957 0.9936 +0.21% +2.19% +0.9965 +0.9918 Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2774 1.2824 -0.39% -5.46% +1.2850 +1.2756 Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3267 1.3275 -0.06% +5.47% +1.3312 +1.3253 Australian/Doll AUD= 0.7328 0.7304 +0.33% -6.06% +0.7344 +0.7295 arEuro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1328 1.1294 +0.30% -3.09% +1.1333 +1.1290 Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8902 0.8861 +0.46% +0.21% +0.8921 +0.8859 NZ NZD= 0.6864 0.6869 -0.07% -3.13% +0.6883 +0.6839 Dollar/DollarDollar/Norway NOK= 8.5369 8.5574 -0.24% +4.02% +8.5832 +8.5329 Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.7134 9.7268 -0.14% -1.36% +9.7497 +9.7155 Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.0639 9.0358 +0.39% +10.51% +9.0896 +9.0117 Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.3120 10.2717 +0.39% +4.81% +10.3280 +10.2649
