"Looks like we wait 15 months from commencement of Phase 2 but from there anything could happen."
Not necessarily. Remember our phase 1b results will have some efficacy data, so it's like a mini phase 2. Many drugs going through clinical trials only test for safety in phase 1 and first test for efficacy in humans in phase 2.
Some phase 1's are not even tested on people with an illness, just healthy volunteers testing the safety of the drug.
From the video regarding deals:
4:57 "...but if it does show signals that it's working - then you might have something that big pharma want."
13:43 "... unless you are very lucky where your drug shows extremely great promise very early in its life."
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