CTP 0.00% 5.4¢ central petroleum limited

Ann: Reserves Update, page-25

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  1. 1,934 Posts.
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    Hexing the helium for you. Just a rough look shows it’s got mega potential. And especially considering negligible transport cost.

    He sale price approx
    $80/thousand cf
    $80m/bcf ( Nat gas PJ)
    Say $60m/bcf profit

    1bcf of natural gas is approx 1 PJ
    If natural gas yields $3m/PJ profit then

    He is worth 20x the profit of natural gas per volume

    Therefore at 5% He the helium is worth at least the value of the natural gas. It’s a fair way to look at as a minimum. And 5% might be conservative and further if the natural gas profits are only $1.5/PJ conservatively, we still get the bonus helium at $60m/bcf profit.


    So Say Dukas is 5% He
    1000PJ natural gas reserve
    50bcf He reserve

    @30% to CTP

    =15bcf of He x$60m = $900m He profit over 10 to 20 years.

    Plus 300PJ natural gas @ $3m profit over same period = $900m (or $450m@$1.5m)



    $1.8b to 1.35b profit
 
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