I have been burnt a couple of times in the past in similar situations where resource estimates or jorcs have disappointed.
However there’s a couple of items here that line up to give me confidence that will be in line with expectations of surprise to the upside.
-the performance rights at 1.5tcf
-the road shows being scheduled for November (they surely would have known when they would be in a position to publish the maiden estimate, hence the timing of the roadshow afterwards)
-why Mobil abandoned it, this wasn’t a dinky potential resource that was abandoned because it was deemed uneconomic, I would speculate and say this was abandoned due to mugabes regime.
- didn’t conduct a CR before releasing the estimate as this would imply its negative (or occasionally getting mates set).
- McMillan is a technical guy, has access to the Mobil data and is familiar with the prospectivity of the acreage
- the buying on market from the directors albeit small.
Just some ramblings as I have my morning coffee, obviously a number of those points can be interpreted the other way but I reckon this is one of the better O&G r/r plays on the market at the moment.
The big variable obviously is the Zimbabwean government but we will see.
GLTA.
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Last
6.6¢ |
Change
0.001(1.54%) |
Mkt cap ! $107.6M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
6.6¢ | 6.9¢ | 6.4¢ | $98.87K | 1.490M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 8300 | 6.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.6¢ | 219460 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 336596 | 0.069 |
4 | 214705 | 0.068 |
2 | 218700 | 0.067 |
2 | 44576 | 0.066 |
1 | 150000 | 0.065 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.070 | 105714 | 2 |
0.071 | 764037 | 7 |
0.072 | 1100138 | 10 |
0.073 | 1036012 | 6 |
0.074 | 1002617 | 6 |
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