News: FOREX-Dollar gains on stock weakness, before Fed minutes

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    • Dollar gains as stocks open weaker
    • Sterling falls after inflation disappoints
    • Fed meeting minutes from September in focus

    (New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments to U.S. market open, new byline, changes dateline, previous LONDON)

    The U.S. dollar gained on Wednesday as stocks dipped, boosting demand for safe haven currencies, and before the Federal Reserve is due to release the minutes from its September meeting.

    Stocks weakened a day after Wall Street's strongest rally in seven months as investors were disappointed with IBM's results and cautious ahead of the Fed minutes.

    “The market once again is in a nervous mode, which is supporting safe haven currencies like the dollar,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

    The dollar index .DXY gained 0.32 percent to 95.355, but held in the relatively tight range it has traded in for the past week.

    "The dollar is trapped in a sideways range and we need more confirmation on the data front to push it higher from these levels," said Bernd Berg, a global macro and foreign exchange strategist at Woodman Asset Management in Switzerland.

    Investors are focused on the Fed's meeting minutes for further clues over how many further rate increases are likely.

    “If they signal full speed ahead for a December rate hike and further increases next year, that could certainly keep the dollar biased higher,” said Manimbo.

    Interest rate futures are pricing in a 77 percent likelihood that the U.S. central bank rates in December for the fourth time this year, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Two more increases are likely next year.

    Some market analysts warned against buying into the dollar's strength, however, saying that financial conditions appeared to be tightening globally.

    Cross-currency basis swaps in euros, yen and sterling - money market gauges of offshore dollar liquidity - have widened in recent weeks, suggesting that the Fed's rate hikes have cut into the availability of overseas dollars.

    "Risk caution is warranted ... the replacement of Fed liquidity has come at the expense of tightening liquidity conditions outside the U.S.," Morgan Stanley strategists said.

    The British pound was the biggest loser against the dollar, after consumer price data for September came in at an annual rate of 2.4 percent versus forecasts of 2.6 percent.

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    	Currency bid prices at 9:40AM (1340 GMT) 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	 High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change				  
    											  Session											
     Euro/Dollar	  EUR=		$1.1535		$1.1573	 -0.33%		 -3.84%	  +1.1583	 +1.1521 
     Dollar/Yen	   JPY=		112.2000	   112.2500	-0.04%		 -0.42%	  +112.4100   +112.1600 
     Euro/Yen		 EURJPY=	 129.44		 129.91	  -0.36%		 -4.25%	  +130.1500   +129.3400 
     Dollar/Swiss	 CHF=		0.9919		 0.9906	  +0.13%		 +1.81%	  +0.9939	 +0.9901 
     Sterling/Dollar  GBP=		1.3113		 1.3184	  -0.54%		 -2.95%	  +1.3192	 +1.3101 
     Dollar/Canadian  CAD=		1.2981		 1.2932	  +0.38%		 +3.21%	  +1.2993	 +1.2932 
     Australian/Doll  AUD=		0.7123		 0.7140	  -0.24%		 -8.69%	  +0.7159	 +0.7118 
     ar																							  
    
     Euro/Swiss	   EURCHF=	 1.1443		 1.1466	  -0.20%		 -2.10%	  +1.1482	 +1.1438 
     Euro/Sterling	EURGBP=	 0.8796		 0.8780	  +0.18%		 -0.98%	  +0.8807	 +0.8768 
     NZ			   NZD=		0.6568		 0.6582	  -0.21%		 -7.31%	  +0.6601	 +0.6559 
     Dollar/Dollar																				   
    
     Dollar/Norway	NOK=		8.1809		 8.1450	  +0.44%		 -0.32%	  +8.1876	 +8.1413 
     Euro/Norway	  EURNOK=	 9.4394		 9.4292	  +0.11%		 -4.15%	  +9.4410	 +9.4177 
     Dollar/Sweden	SEK=		8.9424		 8.9035	  +0.08%		 +9.03%	  +8.9521	 +8.8904 
     Euro/Sweden	  EURSEK=	 10.3166		10.3082	 +0.08%		 +4.85%	  +10.3240	+10.2870                    
 
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