Thanks Roka - I agree that BNO does not have the funds for a Phase III trial and agree with Baseless that the timelines in that Hardman research were incredibly short.
Thanks also Baseless for linking the Hardman research....
Anyway, in relation to a bid or a licensing deal, Merck would know that they could cut a deal before the PTSD results are out and get it a lot cheaper than after the results are out - assuming that they are positive.
However, I concluded that on balance, few pharma execs would bet their career on buying before th results are out.
You get shot for buying a dud not for paying too much - so I reckon Merck would wait before making any offer on BNC 210.
Having said that, Merck would know what the drug could be worth if fully commercialised - and they would have a good idea of how valuable the drug discovery platforms in BNO are, so a cheeky bid for the who company is not altogether crazy or out of the question.
Why pay out a $75-100m up front payment to licence BNC 210 when for an extra couple of hundred million, they could get the whole box and dice.
Just saying....................
I guess we will all know very soon - fingers crossed.
BNO Price at posting:
50.5¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held