PGR 0.00% 5.6¢ the pas group limited

PGR Full Year Results & Next Steps, page-3

  1. 701 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 31
    Hi pCap, agree.

    Looking at guidance provided for 2017/18 by peers:
    NBL - EBITDA $37M - MARKET CAP = $324M = 8.75 times
    SPH (post sales of other brands) - EBITDA $19.5M - Market Cap = $185m = 9.5 times

    PGR - EBITDA -$11.5M ( Mid point before one offs ) Market Cap = $45m = 3.9 times

    Move PGR forward 2018-19 with the new business wins plus underlying 2017/18

    As per your numbers
    EBITDA - $16.5M ( mid point) - Market Cap = $45m - 2.7 times

    Note; PGR has a greater % of sales as wholesale business so EBITDA margins are not as strong as NBL 10% - SPH -14% - also SPH has a significant on line sales presence 37% of total sales driving profitability.

    So what value PGR? - if we take 5 times 2018/19 EBITDA = $80m or 60c.- 6 times $100m or 72c

    Will be watching closely the full year numbers & outlook statement when released shortly for confirmations.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add PGR (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.