Agree with the above. Analysis separately posted to the INTERESTING ARTICLE thread. Refer Post #:34652722
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 0 Item Forecast JunQ JunQ actual Variance $ SepQ F/cast Vary on JunQ Act 1 Product manufacturing and operating costs 4.177M 4.650M 473K 3.371M -1.279M 2 Advertising and marketing 10K 11K 1K 12K +1K 3 Leased assets 4K 4K 0 4K 0 4 Staff costs 897K 907K 10K 982K +75K 5 Administration and corporate costs 270K 291K 21K 314K +23K 6 Other 113K 107K (net)
– gross = 111K-6K 112K +5K 7 Total 5.471M 5.970M 499K 4.795M -1.175M
This is not pointing to any type of strong product or customer launch during the SepQ. But, even if so, the staffing cost increase of $75K points to a $300K annualised figure (including super), suggesting therefore a maximum of 4 new staff at AWE. Perhaps however +6 /7 if junior staff have been recruited or staff are on board at lower wages (mind you, also assuming nil CPI /EBA changes).
If though CPI /EBA changes factored in, then the actual new $ spend is likely c$200K, suggesting then upwards of +3 new staff (+5 maximum at the junior /lower end).
None of this underpins /supports a new product launch of anything big, significant or ground swelling which, in terms of the future aspirated add on (ie: +$30M over 4 years which, if equally split = $7.5Mpa or +35% on the final customer receipts result for F2108.
Based on the current SepQ projections, this is seeming rather less (as opposed to more) likely.
Overall, therefore, not a good CF result, at all, with the cash bleed now accelerating (and especially so in admin & corporate – now up to $314K in the SepQ and accelerating YoY).
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