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Ann: Appendix 4C - quarterly, page-6

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    Agree with the above. Analysis separately posted to the INTERESTING ARTICLE thread. Refer Post #:34652722



    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 Item
    Forecast JunQ
    JunQ actual
    Variance $
    SepQ F/cast
    Vary on JunQ Act
    1 Product manufacturing and operating costs
    4.177M
    4.650M
    473K
    3.371M
    -1.279M
    2 Advertising and marketing
    10K
    11K
    1K
    12K
    +1K
    3 Leased assets
    4K
    4K
    0
    4K
    0
    4 Staff costs
    897K
    907K
    10K
    982K
    +75K
    5 Administration and corporate costs
    270K
    291K
    21K
    314K
    +23K
    6 Other
    113K
    107K (net)
    – gross = 111K
    -6K
    112K
    +5K
    7 Total
    5.471M
    5.970M
    499K
    4.795M
    -1.175M

    This is not pointing to any type of strong product or customer launch during the SepQ. But, even if so, the staffing cost increase of $75K points to a $300K annualised figure (including super), suggesting therefore a maximum of 4 new staff at AWE. Perhaps however +6 /7 if junior staff have been recruited or staff are on board at lower wages (mind you, also assuming nil CPI /EBA changes).

    If though CPI /EBA changes factored in, then the actual new $ spend is likely c$200K, suggesting then upwards of +3 new staff (+5 maximum at the junior /lower end).

    None of this underpins /supports a new product launch of anything big, significant or ground swelling which, in terms of the future aspirated add on (ie: +$30M over 4 years which, if equally split = $7.5Mpa or +35% on the final customer receipts result for F2108.

    Based on the current SepQ projections, this is seeming rather less (as opposed to more) likely.

    Overall, therefore, not a good CF result, at all, with the cash bleed now accelerating (and especially so in admin & corporate – now up to $314K in the SepQ and accelerating YoY).
 
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