BBX 0.00% 24.0¢ bbx minerals limited

Evidence based speculation

  1. 95 Posts.
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    Hi All,

    I was modelling what the trial mining would look like if:
    A. BBX ever got to the mining capability of a well known aussie junior (MOY)
    B. BBX was trial mining and what sort of profit they would turn.

    I used 5g/t average for BBX just because it's something that not many people would refute, given the significant numbers we've seen

    Please note that I modelled all of this off of the MOY ACTUAL QUARTER OF MARCH2018. All of their data is real. ASIC/recovery/grades/sales /etc is all real.

    I made some assumptions.
    A. The cost of processing 474k tonnes of ore would be the same between MOY and BBX. I understand that it will be different in reality. I figure, MOY has higher labour cost while BBX will have higher transport costs. so i cancelled them out and said they were the same.

    B. All costs are variable and the cost could scale down in a linear fashion to match the 25,000 KiloTonne (Per quarter) trial mining effort. I understand fixed costs would be involved. but it's hard to determine when all you're going off is MOY's quarterly.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
    0 PER QUARTER MOY (ACTUAL) BBX (MODEL) BBX (TRIAL MINING)
    1 ore processed 474,420 474,420 25,000
    2 g/t 1.56 5 5
    3 grams total 740,095 2,372,100 125,000
    4 recovery 85.50% 85.50% 85.50%
    5 grams recovered 632,781 2,028,146 106,875
    6 oz recovered 20,412 65,424 3,448
    7 TOTAL cost of mining and recovery for Quarter MARCH 2018 $26,433,933 $26,433,932 $1,393,000
    8 ASIC for Q March 2018 $1,295 $404 $404
    9 Sales (Per Quarter) $34,700,915 $111,220,882 $5,860,887
    10 Total Profit (Per Quarter) $8,266,983 $84,786,950 $4,467,887
    11 Take from partner (Per Quarter) $0 $0 $2,233,944
    12 Company Profit (Per Quarter) $8,266,983 $84,786,950 $2,233,944

    Note: If i was to scale the grade to 50, this happens:

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
    0 PER QUARTER MOY (ACTUAL) BBX (MODEL) BBX (TRIAL MINING)
    1 ore processed 474,420 474,420 25,000
    2 g/t 1.56 50 50
    3 grams total 740,095 23,721,000 1,250,000
    4 recovery 85.50% 85.50% 85.50%
    5 grams recovered 632,781 20,281,455 1,068,750
    6 oz recovered 20,412 654,240 34,476
    7 TOTAL cost of mining and recovery for Quarter MARCH 2018 $26,433,933 $26,433,932 $1,393,000
    8 ASIC for Q March 2018 $1,295 $40 $40
    9 Sales (Per Quarter) $34,700,915 $1,112,208,823 $58,608,871
    10 Total Profit (Per Quarter) $8,266,983 $1,085,774,891 $57,215,871
    11 Take from partner (Per Quarter) $0 $0 $28,607,935
    12 Company Profit (Per Quarter) $8,266,983 $1,085,774,891 $28,607,935

    Thoughts?

    Thanks
    Smite.
 
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