CTX 0.16% $25.21 caltex australia limited

CTX target $36.60, page-9

  1. 406 Posts.
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    I sold my CTX shares last week after the share price broke below $30.

    CTX had a great run from 2009 - 2015 but has basically gone sideways for the last three years (even including dividends). Over the last several months I have become increasingly concerned about a number of things including industry headwinds, the outcome of the BP issue and some aspects of management's growth strategy (although I remain positive on CTX management generally). In effect, my conviction in CTX's ability to grow eps is no longer as strong as it once was.

    Also, although I am no chartist, the last four months looks suspiciously like a downtrend has been established and I have learnt the hard way that fighting the market is a good way to lose money as any.

    For now, I see better long term reward/risk opportunities elsewhere. That said, I will stay on the sidelines and if the share price gets low enough or other factors change for the better will take another look at the company.
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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