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7,719 Posts.
161
08/04/18
09:58
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Update already. 1200 ktpa potential supply by early 2020s??? Added Whabouchi and Qinghai (for sake of a reminder). Canada is getting into it.
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Column 1 |
Column 2 |
Column 3 |
Column 4 |
Column 5 |
Column 6 |
Column 7 |
Column 8 |
0 |
|
NOW |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
not sure |
|
1 |
SQM |
50000 |
|
13000 |
25000 |
25000 |
102000 |
Brine |
2 |
Albemarle |
50000 |
|
20000 |
55000 |
|
|
Brine |
3 |
FMC |
46000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brine |
4 |
Ganfeng |
30000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
5 |
Tianqi |
34000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
6 |
Other China adj |
23000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Both |
7 |
ORE |
17500 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brine |
8 |
PLS |
|
42000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
9 |
PLS stage 2 |
|
|
|
37000 |
|
|
Hard Rock |
10 |
AJM |
|
37000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
11 |
Mt Marion |
64000 |
8000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
12 |
Mt Cattlin |
22000 |
6000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
13 |
Mt Holland via Lake J |
|
|
32000 |
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
14 |
Nemaska Whabouchi |
|
|
|
44000 |
|
|
Hard Rock |
15 |
Cauchari |
|
|
|
25000 |
|
25000 |
Brine |
16 |
Greenbushes |
80000 |
|
|
80000 |
|
20000 |
HG Hard Rock |
17 |
ORE expansion |
|
|
25000 |
|
|
|
Brine |
18 |
Sal De Vida |
|
|
|
|
|
25000 |
Brine |
19 |
AJM stage 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
35000 |
Hard Rock |
20 |
Wodgina |
|
80000 |
40000 |
|
|
|
DSO Hard Rock |
21 |
Bald Hill - Tawana/AMAL |
25000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
|
22 |
NAL - La Corne |
|
25000 |
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
23 |
Qinghai - China - 50000 LCE |
|
|
|
|
|
No project |
|
24 |
adjustment for China |
-67000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hard Rock |
25 |
Totals |
349500 |
223000 |
130000 |
266000 |
25000 |
207000 |
1200500 |
|
Column 1 |
0 |
note - probably some doubling up between Chinese producers + and hard rock projects |
1 |
all projects are listed at completed target production - but most will take a long while to ramp up to there |
2 |
all rough numbers - about 20% of hard rock Li is not recoverable |
3 |
Much Greenbushes production assumed to be counted in China numbers - hence adjustment |
4 |
All in Lithium Carbonate Equivalent - LCE, assumes 80% conversion from hard rock conc |
5 |
I have found data that 20ktpa LCE is sourced from China, and 67 ktpa is from imported sources |
6 |
http://www.indmin.com/events/download.ashx/document/speaker/E000994/a0ID000000arDqQMAU/Presentation |
7 |
Don't rely on these numbers - lol |
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