Downside to continue for AEB?, page-53

What a ridiculous post. If the price sat around 4c for most of the next year I would clearly be wrong. I said it could briefly spike to that level but not sit at it. I described not only the price range but very specifically the rough mean, and also the pattern. Obviously it would be stupid for me to predict the price would be 1.4c in exactly 12 months time, but I gave as specific a prediction as anyone realistically could, and it was much more specific than simply 'somewhere between 1 and 5c'. Those were the likely extremes over the next 12 months, not the mean, not just the likely end point. Obviously there will be spikes and falls along the way and I was simply saying that. Are you being obtuse or are you genuinely that simple? Or perhaps you are deliberately trying to mislead the other readers here, believing they are stupid enough to think your post is valid? (perhaps not a bad strategy, admittedly!)

Obviously saying '9.9c' is extremely specific, but completely unrealistic to claim any confidence in. We will obviously see swings, spikes, falls, along the next year. We don't know exactly where it will be at an exact point one year into the future. You haven't described the minimum and maximum price along the way. If all I wanted to do was to be as specific and more correct than you I could simply state any price under 9.9c and I would beat you. If the price rose to around 9c in a few months then sat there until almost the 22nd of March 2019 then dropped to 2.6c on the actual 22nd of March then recovered over the next week, I would still say you were right and I was wrong. If the price did exactly what I predicted but had a brief spike to 9.9c on the 22nd of March 2019 on tiny volume based on an empty promise and collapsed back to 1.4c the next week, would you claim to have been right? Probably!