N27 0.00% 3.6¢ northern cobalt limited

FA - N27

  1. 760 Posts.
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    Looking to start a fundamental analysis thread to get thoughts on drilling results and the future SP of the company and the environment it operates in.

    Have been trying to assess the deposit they are sitting on, however because they have not released definitive results of each it's difficult, so far I have the following - not including discounting.

    500,000t of Co @ 0.17%, Ni @ 0.09%, Cu @ 0.11%.

    From this I've taken the following:

    Co - 500,000t * 0.17 = Co 85,000t
    Ni - 500,000 * 0.09 = Ni 45,000t
    Cu - 500,000 * 0.11 = Cu 55,000t

    Taking these a bit further to calculate the sale price of the resources gives us the following (prices as of 13 Feb 2018):

    Co - $81,000 USD * 85,000t = ~$6.885b USD
    Ni - $12,900 USD * 45,000t = ~$540m USD
    Cu - $6,800 USD * 55,000t = ~$374m USD

    Total = ~$7.8b USD = ~$9.9b AUD

    $9.9b / 24,067,500 (shares on issue) = SP $411.34

    ***Note. This does not take into account the cost of processing the resources which can run quite high. Especially in the NT.

    This share price seems extremely high so I feel as though something is not right here.... The cobalt is what could be throwing it out, however these prices were acquired from tradingeconomics.com. The deposit they provided in there last ASX announcement on the 5th of February indicates these levels and the shares on issue were taken from the official ASX quotation when they first listed...

    Pretty new at this, so any feedback that can be provided is much appreciated!
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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