Oh I do love this stuff. My comments for you arsenic:
1. So your NPV number of A$0.0.84 was calculated from the NPV of A$207m displayed in the BFS dated 29/6/17
2. My NPV model originally calculated A$207m using exactly the same assumptions as in the BFS
3. In the following table I show the key assumptions in HRR's BFS and the changes I made in my NPV calculation
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
Column 5
0
Units
BFS
Mine
LME
1
Zn Price
US$/lb
1.01
1.40
1.41
2
Cu Price
US$/lb
3.00
3.00
2.94
3
Pb Price
US$/lb
0.91
1.10
1.09
4
Au price
US$/oz
1200
1250
1287
5
AUDUSD
0.710
0.7800
0.788
6
Tax Losses used
A$m
0
91
7
Discount rate used
%
8
6
8
Notes: 1. The HRR BFS assumes the metal prices and AUDUSA FX rate are the same for every year 2. The LME metal prices are for 18/8/17 3. The Tax losses are useable revenue tax losses and can fully recovered from HRR operating profits. Refer FY2016 AR
So I suggest you input my assumptions into your NPV model and see what NPV pops out. It will be the same. As I have stated previously the NPV I have correctly calculated is based upon the original BFS and the new assumptions I have detailed above. These new assumptions are now more realistic based on current metal prices and the AUDUSD FX rate. However if significant changes occur and they appear persistent I shall update my NPV model.
There you have it.
HRR Price at posting:
8.6¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held