I have been looking at PRT for a few days now, looking over their past financials, trying to come to a decision to purchase or not. So far it is in the "too hard" basket.
This morning for kicks (yes, I know how to live it up on a Saturday!) I sat down and mapped out the bull vs. bear case. Below is where I got to.
Bulls
PE ratio: Very low, screaming buy
Dividend: High yield, screaming buy
Debt: Being significantly paid down from earnings, dividend reduced this year to pay down more debt
Earnings: Stable earnings over time
Regulatory: Media laws will change in PRT favour soon
New world media threat over stated, still a place for old world media along side Google, Youtube, Facebook, streaming etc. Regional content will be protected
Zingy quote: "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful" - Warren Buffet. People are definitely fearful now.
Bears
PE ratio: Earnings in decline, therefore past PE is irrelevant
Dividend: Declining, past yield does not guarantee future yield
Debt: Still too much debt given declining revenue
Earnings: In decline, dropped 18 million from 2015 to 2016
Regulatory: Canberra talking about changing laws for a long time, no guarantee it will happen anytime soon
New world advertising and internet streaming will kill off PRT business model
Zingy quote: "Generally speaking, it pays to stay away from declining businesses. They are very difficult to value." - Warren Buffet. I remember a quote from Charlie Munger about not being able to pay too low a price for a business in decline, but I can't find it right now.