About the same as you betting that horse x will win the Melbourne cup in November. You would make a killing but I think the odds are stacked very heavily against that.
If you have followed the SMM / PDN / Areva events you will have seen that Areva didn't make any killer offer for SMM. They didn't then - it is very unlikely they will now. In the meantime the acceptances to the PDN offer appear to be flowing strongly in to PDN.
But, you have all night tonight to think about it because the offer from PDN closes TOMORROW!
SMM Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Not Held