CM8 5.41% 3.5¢ crowd media holdings limited

CHART, page-2

  1. 8,420 Posts.
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    DD, no probs.

    I will start with the caveat that the volume and price increase leading up to today could be artificial, i.e. engineered to maximise today's closing SP to establish the best possible conversion price for the CN. Having said that, charts are full of features that are linked to artificial events rather than free market events (smart money accumulation & distribution, traders P&D, macro market events like Brexit, etc). So normally take the chart as it comes, and the real proof of the pudding is always the follow-through confirmation anyway, which tells you what the real story is.

    So, I have marked up a weekly chart below. There's a lot to like about the chart atm (compared to the last few months), including:

    1. The increasing SP obviously, but on increasing volume
    2. The bullish break on the RSI out of the overold region (it has been oversold consistently for 3-4 months)
    3. The breakout of both the ST downtrend and the 2 month trading range.

    All good so far, however, the critical part is yet to come. What happens now that the CN conversion price has been set. Will we see a continuation of price (very bullish) or a pullback. How far and how deep will that pullback be? If on strong volume we will know this is a P&D. If on low volume AND that 18c holds AND we see it bounce from there, then we are in business...but not until then IMO. And in any case then there is that LT downtrend still overhead, but that's for another time...

    2016-08-01 CM8 weekly.PNG

    Hope the above is useful.

    Cheers, Sharks
 
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