I did an analysis of FMG yesterday. While it is an FMG analysis, to a very large extent, it is a macro analysis of the iron ore sector, as a whole. In each point there, I explained the macro factors behind my analysis. Here it is -
I have been monitoring FMG, BCI, MGX, RIO, BHP, AGO and ARI, among other iron stocks since a long time. If I were to do an analysis of any of these individual stocks, I would be analyzing on the same factors that I mentioned in my FMG analysis. I chose to go more in depth into FMG since it is one that I have been following more closely and I assume that many iron ore investors also follow the story more closely and would be able to easily understand the relevance to other iron stocks.
So, if anyone invested in iron ore stocks would like to have a look at that analysis, then please do so. If commenting anything on that FMG analysis, then please don’t comment on other stocks besides FMG as that is the FMG forum.
As I mentioned there, IMO, the length of the bear market might determine the fate of all iron miners. Managing costs, cash and debt IMO should be the top priorities of all iron stocks.
The longer the bear market persists, the worse hit, the juniors would be unless they take the above factors seriously.
A prolonged iron ore bear market could provide some very good long term opportunities for BHP and RIO buyers as these stocks are almost certain to at least survive the bear market.
On the other hand, a quick recovery and end of the iron ore bear market would give a strong opportunity for multi baggers for those juniors that survive.
Note that my comments are more longer term oriented and have no bearing on short term movements.
