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08/01/15
19:42
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Originally posted by bigal36
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I think it could double bottom at 69.5 cents but for the sake of a couple of cents why risk missing out.
I did a revised profit forecast for 2014/15 and assuming TAPIS stays at $53 USD and the AUD stays at .81 for the rest of the year I estimate a NPAT of approx $53M which gives it a PE of about 6.5.
As they got $79.9M rev in the first quarter and they have hedged approx 850,000 bbl @ 70USD and 450,000 @ 90 USD things won't be quite as bad this year as some punters think.
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"As they got $79.9M rev in the first quarter and they have hedged approx 850,000 bbl @ 70USD and 450,000 @ 90 USD things won't be quite as bad this year as some punters think."
They are roughly producing 800,000 bbls a quarter. So circa 3.2m pa.
850,ooo @ AUD$86 ($73.1m)
450,000 @ AUD$110 ($49.5m)
1.9m @ AUD$65 ($123.5m) - (TAPIS US$53: AUD/US .81)
Potential revenue FY15 $246m ($61.5m per quarter)
Average AUD$ price received per barrel = $76.87.
Still good money being made, especially on the $90 hedge. Gives them a good year for oil to recover...and still doing ok now at AUD$65 barrel.
Last edited by
Sector :
08/01/15