agent I suspect Lincoln's expectations simply came from the previous drills with no discussion/thought of # of frac stages, position etc. In particular we have to remember that this drill was a lease obligation (ie done in response to a neighbouring drill) rather than a position of choice done by reference to 3D seismic etc.
New RBS analyst report out this afternoon as well.
************ Texon Petroleum (TXN) Market Cap: A$114m _________________________________________________ Recommendation: Buy Share price: A$0.465 Price target: A$1.04 Subject: Fifth Eagle Ford Well flows at 1,262 boepd Analyst: Krista Walter James Lawrence Roger Leaning _________________________________________________ Key points: Texon announced that the Fifth Eagle Ford Well flowed at a rate of 1,072 bopd and 1.137mmcfd. The result equates to a flow rate of 1,262 boepd and below we compare this result to the previous four EFS wells. With the exception of the EFS-2 well (which had fraccing issues) the other wells flowed at higher rates than EFS-5.
Well number bopd mcfgpd boepd* 1 1202 782 1332 2 1105 736 1228 3 1488 100 1605 4 1408 922 1562 5 1072 1137 1262 * based on 6mcf = 1boe
Importantly this was a lease commitment well, and effectively protects a southern portion of the company's Leighton acreage from future well commitments. The well was not drilled in the ideal orientation, in order to protect the southern boundary, and this may have impacted flow flow rates. That said, the well completion has been successful and the company expects the well to be connected to oil and gas production tanks and pipelines next week.
We think TXN looks undervalued at these prices, but understand the market is nervous due to lack of news flow surrounding the monetisation process. We think that it is important to realise current market conditions and that the acreage is valuable, and therefore patience may be required to get to a deal which recognises that value.
DISCLOSURE - RBS Morgans Corporate Limited is a Joint Selling Agent for the potential whole or partial sale of the assets of Texon Petroleum Group Limited and may receive fees in this regard
TXN Price at posting:
45.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held