OIP 0.00% 4.3¢ orion petroleum limited

santos presentation, page-4

  1. 3,390 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 26
    Using my valuation thread in MEL basing on similar companies like ICN & COI here it goes:

    Using 2C + 3C resources (net to OIP is 1323.1pj):

    1. Based on ICN's valuation of $0.05/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.43 per share

    2. Based on COI's valuation of $0.09/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.77 per share

    Using only 2C is what Grant Samuel report based (net to OIP is 243.7pj):

    1. Based on ICN's valuation of $0.05/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.08 per share

    2. Based on COI's valuation of $0.09/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.14 per share

    The above excludes cash, so using the 2C methodology + cash (based on nearly $6.2m on latest quarterly report), the following valuations would be:

    1. Based on ICN's valuation of $0.05/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.12 per share (market cap of $18.4m)

    2. Based on COI's valuation of $0.09/GJ, OIP would be worth $0.18 per share (market cap of greater than $28.1m)

    Note: OIP's valuation above also excludes valuation of OIP's 3 Darling Basin tenements. So OIP can be valued greater than 12c to 18c.

    Advantages of OIP over rivals: main tenements are based in Gunnedah Basin where Santos/TRUenergy is dominate, Santos/TRUenergy JV has interests in PEL6, PEL427, PEL428 and a joint over 23% stake in OIP. COI also has interest in the same tenements.

    Disadvantages: ICN has a "conditional" binding gas sales agreement with a Chinese company. Condition is ICN to achieve at least 2Tcf of 2P reserves in 4 years time (where they currently have ZERO). Whereas OIP does not have any GSA.

    Technically OIP should be worth greater than 10c.

 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add OIP (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.