ROS 0.00% 35.0¢ red october resources limited

Ann: Yellowstone Revised Terms , page-5

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  1. 1,091 Posts.
    Positives:

    1. Shaved $10m off the purchase price.
    2. 5% increase in stake in the project.
    3. last 25% based on the achievement of certain grades

    However, there is still the threat of dilution affecting the value for original investors IMO:

    Shares Prior to ASX Listing = 31,600,000
    Shares Added Via IPO = 25,800,000

    TOTAL SHARES UPON ASX LISTING = 57,400,000

    UTK to get 20% of ROS = 14,350,000 new shares*

    Combined No of Shares Now = 71,750,000

    *Amount owed to UTK is $30USD, say $27AUD
    Based on price of 0.35 20% of ROS = $5,022,500
    Further payment of $21,977,500 AUD required
    I assume this $21.9m may come from the sale of the Silver project others have mentioned? If not further debt or equity funding will be required.

    A further $14m will be provided to UTK after the Capital Raising.**

    Assuming they raise only $14m (likely to be larger IMO given they want to spend $10m on exploration) then they will create an extra 40,000,000 shares based on an issue price of 0.35.

    Total number of shares on issue would = 111,750,000. This has the effect of diluting original shareholders to approx 51%.

    That said if ROS is able to issue capital at a higher price than $0.35 then the above scenario is not a problem. If anyone has any insight into what the likely CR price is going to be I would be intereste in knowing so that I can run some further analysis.

    Other Notes:

    ** I assume UTK is entitled to 20% before the CR. If the 20% is placed after the CR then this would equal 19,480,000 shares to UTK.
 
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