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880 Posts.
17
03/12/10
15:49
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From my rough calc. risked NPV of MOG drill should be
22c
plus 5c cash backing of MOG
plus share in other leases say 2-4c and containing 10% share in drill lease (2-3c)
So the SP should be...
22+5+3+2.5 = 32.5c/share (Pre drill - now, it ain't)
5+3+2.5 = 10.5c (post drill - absolutely nothing in the well, totally dry)
Well success
I would think this would half the risk of the field and increase the MOG brand (which I won't factor in for all leases)
22*2+5+3 = 52c/share (successful drill)
Just numbers to justify why I won't sell my shares and follow the herd, hoping for success, as the risk is worth it ( for myself)
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