Lag time Luckymojo, but it is about to come. If anything, the Solar cycle seems to be having an early minimum.
If I was coastal QLD I would be majorly worried now, there has to be a huge risk of a late March cyclone much stronger than anything we have seen in recent years. Given this enormous burst of trades that is going to bring on a weak La Nina, I think Easterly movement is going to be heightened this moth as the MJO will be going quiet in Phase 4. I haven't had time to read all of the thread, but ECLs are a certainty in the coming months.
