"There will be no reduction in dividend, unlike AMP. In fact, i see it being increased."
Given the circumstances, I think the chance of a dividend increase is a nice, round zero.
And if the remediation costs are somewhat higher than their modest expectations, then the surplus capital in the business would be consumed quite quickly, necessitating a conservation of funds, i.e., a dividend cut.
For what its worth, my dividend odds are:
- Maintained = 40%
- Reduced by up to 50% = 50%
- Reduced by >50% = 10%
- Increased = 0%
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- Ann: FUMAS for the periods ended 31 December 2018
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