Yes, to a degree Largo's current cash flow is being negatively effected by legacy contracts, yet they earned US$80m of free cash in the most recent quarter. That will definitely grow substantially as spot V prices make their mark....and of course, the market knows this and it is priced in the current share price.
In the short term the V price I believe will push well through the $50/lb level (I hear there is real panic out there - China could ban V exports!!). It will be a little like when Ur went on it's tear from $5/lb to over $100. But that will be a massive headwind for the VRB market and development of that market may have to wait until the supply side of the equation has come to the party - but that could take 5 years at least. In the mean time the V price will steadfastly stay above $25 IMO.
If the V price is above $20 in mid-2021 (as I suspect) then we should have the same market cap as Largo (why wouldn't we?).
Lets say the project is financed 33% debt, equity and off take partner contribution (who knows? just guessing) and the equity funding portion is raised at say $1/share (minimum) with $130m raised that would mean we would have (83m + 130m) say 213m share on issue.
Using a Largo mkt cap of say $2bn, TMT's share price would be $8.65.
I personally think Largo share price has massive upside from here despite it's run this year. Just imagine.....
TMT Price at posting:
48.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held