AHF 0.00% 2.8¢ australian dairy nutritionals limited

Ann: AHF to produce Organic Infant Formula with Australian Milk, page-155

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  1. 4,941 Posts.
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    Not quite.

    AHF has:
    * farm - yes (but not co-ordinated, certified or organic - that's all still to come)
    * cow - yes (but which breed? <6 months ago, they were swapping out their then existing cow mixture for Jerseys. Now, what?)
    * land - yes (some of it closely aligned or connect, but other portions of which are some distance away).
    ==> I would however have thought that you would have commented about the water (allocation, licence, ability to transfer around).
    * facility - no (what they have is a processing facility at near sub40 utilisation, with no cool stores /storage, to speak of and certainly no way by which the existing facilities can be scaled up or migrated to handling IF /powders).
    * revenue - no (nil revenue in the IF /powders space and will remain so through to 2020 /2021. Till then, they are reliant on their existing revenue profile which post-CDC was meant to go to $30M+ but which has since disappointed and appears trending down /flatlining @ circa $23M which includes significant cattle sales).

    AHF needs:
    * facility - which still needs to be designed, approved, built and paid for so therefore requires $50M+ in order to do so. Will this then be raised as a CR (highly dilutive) or via JV (in which case, the revenue /profit sharing will be highly dilutive to AHF as c/$ compared to $/$);
    * funding - which still needs to be sorted as the CBA $10M (interest only) facility expires Apr19, and following the $5M placement in Sep17, they are down to $5.038M in cash as @H18.
    * profitability - no profitability to speak of since relisting as a dairy farm project in late 2014.
    * +ve cashflow - operating cashflow @H18 was -ve >$700K with it unlikely to have improved (ie: turned +ve) during 3Q18 (particularly with so called swapover contracts happening, the loss of Aussie Farmers Direct, and losses directly attributable to Aussie Farmers Direct).
 
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