GRR 4.08% 25.5¢ grange resources limited.

Ann: GRR - Quarterly Report for 3 months ended 30 September 2017, page-20

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  1. 757 Posts.
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    Some takeways from this QR:
    1. The pellet premium to Platts 62% Fe was 49% resulting in an achieved pellet SP of A$133/t
    2. The C1 was A$85/t on pellet production of 550kts
    3. The C1 margin was A$48/t
    4. EBITDA = A$35m
    5. PAT = A$24m
    6. EPS = 2.04 cps
    7. Cash + Debtors = A$155m
    So currently:
    1. GRR's MC = Cash + debtors = A$155m
    2. The MC does not incorporate any value for the earnings potential of GRR.
    3. Simplistically if the current IO prices prevail then GRR's FY PAT = A$100m OR EPS 8.16 cps.
    4. The MC should be somewhere between A$655m (5 times A$100m + cash A$155m) and A$1155m (10 times A$100m + cash A$155m)
    5. Put another way GRR's SP should be somewhere between A$0.65 and A$1.14.
    The GRR SP has now broken out of its consolidation range and appears to be on a upward trajectory. Maybe the ASX has realised the substantial GRR undervaluation and is now going to re-rate GRR. Let us hope so! In any case please DYOR
 
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