STO 1.91% $6.95 santos limited

Ann: Santos announces expected non-cash impairment, page-6

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  1. 2,267 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 24
    The Santos forecasting cell needs a performance review
    Their record from the first big writedown 12/2/15 (1)
    Now another writedown 15/8/17 (2)
    Brent $US
    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    (1) 55 70 80 90 90
    (2) 50 55 60 65 70 70
    (actual Av) 52 43 52

    So their forecast a year out is OK but from there on it is awful.
    At least they have now reduced their year-on-year forecast growth to sub 10%.
    However they still maintain the view that the price will continue to go up.
    There are alternate scenarios - see the actuals the last few years - flat-lining about $50.

    Billions of real dollars were invested in LNG plants and capitalized. The writedowns reduce the asset value. $ thrown down the hole.

    Anyway so impairments after tax
    GLNG -US$870
    AAL -US$150
    Cooper Basin + US$330
    equals the US $690

    Good legacy asset the Cooper Basin holds up the dog's belly to prevent it getting gravel rash

    The dog is looking a bit wan
    The Vet is still on call

    Nothing to hold up the share price so might be going back to $3
 
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