I have to agree with you by measuring the SP metrics. It "feels" like the market is pricing AGO/BCI for the inevitable failure. I took one look at BHP lastweek on that monthly support break chart and the GFC rout experiences I went through suddenly flashes past!
No doubt a lot here have been trying to guess the bottom but the crude oil is a very good measure of the fright in world growth. OPEC producers thinks $65 is the bottom of the cycle and GFC lows was half that so I think we could be entering a lot more selling indiscriminate. Only the strong balance sheet will survive this time and you just can't get past the big boys bhp/rio who incidentally are still making very good $$ at these sort of IO price. Not sure how BHP is doing at these level of crude though.
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