This is a long term play, think about Christmas not about going Skiing in June.
Sure, the short term species have a pretty good game going on. Low down side -8-10c and a solid upside, so they can't really loose too much only time if they have to hold for another bounce. They must be relishing the volatility.
My view for June Quarter: Milled 99,558 Grade 3.65 Recovery 80% 4e PGM 10,262
Should be Sales of approx $15m against PLA's forecast costs of $14m. Not great but should be a strong market signal once achieved.
Smokey has a lot of Platinum inside her and the actual mining costs should be stable, if not come down because of the mine design and with economies of scale.
My bottom up; Smokey 25-30c Cash 2c Panton, Rooderand 7-10c
That said - all we need is another strike, some global volatility, South African Gov't issues and its down to 5c again. But we could have a couple of substantial shareholder announcements, some action with the Chinese on the other holdings and some surprises in productivity and its all on.
PLA Price at posting:
11.5¢ Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held