TXN 0.00% 58.0¢ texon petroleum ltd

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  1. 1,370 Posts.
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    RichE:

    Thanks for bringing some life to the forum. Yes, TXN is a bit of a (slightly sinking) sleeper while we wait for the land sale. I'm more conservative on these things (and hopefully too much so). I would say:

    1) Transact Date: 15 June
    2) Type: Traditional land sale (might not sell all due to non-contiguous parcels)
    3) Share transact: AUD $.85 (EF only; $1.10 for TXN buyout)
    4) Land value: AUD $170m

    Explanations:
    1) Given negotiations (hopefully multiple bidders) and complexities involved, these things take time.
    2) Share-based transactions get messy, particularly across exchanges. Personally, I would love a Petrohawk-style buyout, but I suspect land sale is more likely.
    3) Analysts estimate EF is worth above $.80/share -- conservative estimate by RBS in April12 and Stock Analysis in Nov11 (latter was $.70/share before additional land purchased).
    4) Analyst estimates are$200m- $279m (RBS, 10April12) and about $200m by Stock Analysis (Nov11, adjusted for later land purchase)

    As always, please do your own research.
 
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